0xa206f98a79195dcbaf8b100f1eefe77d8527c4f7
0xa206f98a79195dcbaf8b100f1eefe77d8527c4f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$55.58
Total PnL
$-192.82
Realised
$-61.08
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$28.54
$20.55
- NO
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
27 shares @ 31.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$27.04
$18.59
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
65 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.13
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
50 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.31
- NO
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
49 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.77
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
46 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.84
- NO
Will John Carter be the Republican nominee for TX-31?
45 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.14
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
44 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.04
- NO
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
43 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- NO
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
43 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$3.51Mar 8, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?$15.45Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?$16.32Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?$0.00Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$0.00Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.00Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$19.64Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?$0.00Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?$25.63Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$0.00Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Carter be the Republican nominee for TX-31?$0.00Mar 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00Mar 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$7.20Mar 4, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.