Petty-Spool
0xa20b19e0b9b528ffc703fe6279575f09d49f3583
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-842.09
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 18?
147 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?
50 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?
43 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
36 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
35 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
27 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
25 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
25 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
24 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.74
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
22 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 18?$2.31Jul 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$3.20Jul 10, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$4.20Jul 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$4.49Jul 10, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.82Jul 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.01Jul 10, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$3.62Jul 10, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$3.75Jul 10, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.55Jul 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.55Jul 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.10Jul 10, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.85Jul 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.90Jul 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.00Jul 10, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$4.10Jul 10, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.