Utilized-Covariate
0xa2128689455c445b74324a7af2612e0dc9db2c8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$561.47
Total PnL
$-895.25
Realised
$169.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2632 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$381.58
$-118.42
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2778 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.61
$-26.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.28
$-93.72
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
4419 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
894 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
418 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
381 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
368 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00May 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.33May 28, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00May 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$87.37May 28, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00May 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$106.93May 28, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00May 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$54.26May 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$10.61May 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$104.93May 28, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00May 28, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$105.53May 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$105.53May 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$224.84May 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$103.92May 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$105.95May 28, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00May 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.69May 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$104.69May 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$115.47May 28, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $102.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".