Third-Confusion
0xa21729c921d4185bff36fd3779e0d0a14329c9aa
active
Quality score
80/100
Open positions
5
Open notional
$714.75
Total PnL
$-115.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$415.00
$-85.00
- NO
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.95
$0.15
- NO
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.95
$0.05
- NO
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.85
$-0.05
- NO
Bitcoin above $100K on September 8?
3681 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$99.9010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$99.901d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$99.803d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$600.004d ago
- SPLITWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.0K4d ago
- MERGEWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.0K4d ago
- SPLITWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.0K4d ago
- MERGETrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$1.0K4d ago
- SPLITTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$1.0K4d ago
- REWARD$1.8037d ago
- TRADESELLSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$959.0037d ago
- TRADEBUYSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$985.0037d ago
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$38.7937d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$38.7175d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$38.7278d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$38.60108d ago
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00109d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$9.54144d ago
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by October 31?$37.42144d ago
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by October 31?$37.20177d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $264.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 442d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.