Miserable-Havoc
0xa217ad295d264597bdc8d8f92d4208e9402b7bec
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 17?
317 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 17?
160 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 17?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 17?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025$2.00Sep 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?$1.00Sep 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$1.00Sep 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 17?$3.00Sep 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 17?$2.00Sep 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$10.00Sep 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?$5.00Sep 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$3.00Sep 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 16, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".