Aggravating-Vitro
0xa2255d47774fc2ab4105b4ee9034c937418787ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.11
Realised
$-42.30
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?
233 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 29?
215 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
211 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 20?
207 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 28?
183 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 22?
142 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?
132 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?
101 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?
97 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 16?$91.35Jul 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 16?$0.10Jul 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 16?$89.79Jul 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4?$4.03Jun 4, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?$1.86May 30, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.99May 29, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$91.62May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$0.12May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$87.84May 24, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?$1.84May 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 22?$1.82May 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 20?$3.31May 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$1.67May 17, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$94.34May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$92.92May 13, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 16?$21.15May 7, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 15?$85.56Apr 30, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 16?$0.62Apr 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 16?$17.57Apr 16, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.