Critical-Parsnip
0xa22df930f6bc8d383dea7f8dd4a3ac0d5d69a2cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$22.07
Total PnL
$-9.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?$21.50Jan 5, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 5?$0.03Jan 5, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?$21.00Jan 4, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?$16.80Sep 25, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Twins$17.00Sep 25, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Twins$11.05Aug 14, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMFever vs Mercury$11.00Aug 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFever vs Mercury$0.64Aug 7, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFever vs Mercury$6.40Aug 7, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Wizards$10.00Jul 15, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Pirates$0.00Jul 15, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.37Jul 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Pirates$11.00Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?$10.29Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$11.00May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?$7.00May 16, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Blues$0.00May 16, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Bucks$48.65May 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Bucks$18.00Apr 27, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.