Informal-Sunroom
0xa2527c57773bf3dd67ade2f6ffe4df03477b049c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-4.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$2.00Mar 6, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 6, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$9.31Mar 6, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$9.30Jan 26, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$9.30Jan 26, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$9.27Dec 11, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.05Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$1.28Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.57Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$5.01Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.50Nov 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$1.00Nov 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$5.00Nov 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 22, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$1.10Nov 22, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$8.77Nov 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$8.74Oct 22, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.01Oct 22, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$1.05Oct 22, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.