Pale-Reasoning
0xa259ddade3c4a48d62803bb9f4198a67513d1de4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 82 and 85 million views on week 1?
5980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get 85 million or more views on week 1?
2607 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.59
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?
472 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 82 and 85 million views on week 1?$5.98Jan 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get 85 million or more views on week 1?$6.10Jan 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.10Jan 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get 85 million or more views on week 1?$5.49Jan 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$74.54Jan 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$76.00Jan 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.60Jan 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$5.00Jan 6, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $23.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".