Flat-Rod
0xa25d96e5788504177c56a7adfbce27a635b03f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-248.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
1183 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-79.56
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 14?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 7PM ET
213 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
175 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-66.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3PM ET
145 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
66 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$67.77Mar 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$20.00Mar 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4PM ET$103.38Mar 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4PM ET$55.79Mar 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3PM ET$15.00Mar 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3PM ET$15.00Mar 16, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET$91.25Mar 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET$68.03Mar 16, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$68.02Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$37.01Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?$5.00Mar 16, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 16, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$13.70Mar 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 15?$1.00Mar 16, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$8.72Mar 16, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $20.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".