Live-Show
0xa2687edf14a8bd354b027e443d8a2c1508bc8484
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.51
Total PnL
$-39.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.51
$4.51
- NO
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Starostové get less than 7% of the vote in the Czech election?
15 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4.00Oct 28, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$15.15Oct 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$4.00Oct 12, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?$3.00Oct 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in October?$2.00Oct 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?$1.00Oct 11, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?$5.41Oct 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?$6.48Oct 5, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starostové get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.00Oct 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starostové get less than 7% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.00Oct 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?$5.00Oct 2, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Motoristé get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.00Oct 2, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".