Spicy-Evidence
0xa26b1cdbaba8d2c0766e215cb5859f6b3a40fd09
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.57
Total PnL
$-174.32
Realised
$2.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.57
$0.47
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 2?
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 25?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 31?
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 30?
1007 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 28?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?
985 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-112.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.13Jun 3, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.13May 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.50May 9, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$6.87May 9, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.70Apr 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.00Mar 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$5.00Mar 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$4.00Mar 8, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 6?$1.20Mar 5, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.50Mar 1, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?$2.27Feb 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Warriors$2.17Feb 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Warriors$1.02Jan 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Bulls$4.17Dec 26, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$10.10Dec 26, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$5.66Dec 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?$0.05Dec 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?$5.88Dec 23, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?$13.78Dec 23, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $36.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".