Helpful-Veto
0xa26ddc2d61150b78c26e36d9f06fb29a87eef990
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-586.24
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?
353 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- THOMSON
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
70 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
63 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.02
- YES
Will Zambia vs. Morocco end in a draw?
60 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?
59 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-35.02
- YES
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
40 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$6.94Jan 27, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$32.30Jan 27, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$20.02Jan 5, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$21.89Jan 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$19.02Jan 1, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 1, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jan 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.01Jan 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$18.36Jan 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.35Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Jan 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10.01Jan 1, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.