Unripe-Persimmon
0xa2711d1d311a0b2fa7f88d5c7cb760a3fa062727
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.81
Realised
$148.92
Win rate
89%
72 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Exact Score: Wydad Athletic Club 1 - 2 FathUnionSport?
1120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $530 on June 29?
814 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- CZECHIA
Czechia vs. Germany
784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- CALIFORNIA BLACK BEARS
MLP San Diego: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders
784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
720 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- FUBON GUARDIANS
Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Fubon Guardians
560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- UNDER
SC Recife vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: SC Recife O/U 1.5
560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- JULIE&CIE
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winner
560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$0.12Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?$0.92Jul 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.07Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.21Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.50Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$2.32Jul 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.39Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.02Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.40Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.10Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.03Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.00Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.00Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$3.09Jul 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.24Jul 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$0.61Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$0.83Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$0.41Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?$0.50Jul 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 30?$0.22Jul 28, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 72 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
72 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 72 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.