Cruel-Pollution
0xa274fb066b3cb6eeeabcad437efe929ef2a75c5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$156.96
Total PnL
$-123.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.84
$2.84
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.61
$1.61
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
22 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.57
$0.57
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
21 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.55
$0.55
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
21 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.48
$0.48
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.90
$0.90
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
159 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$120.00Feb 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Feb 20, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$10.00Feb 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$30.00Feb 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$50.00Feb 10, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.12Feb 10, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$20.00Feb 9, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$144.93Feb 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$100.00Feb 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.00Feb 8, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?$20.00Feb 8, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$20.00Feb 8, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $39.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.