Identical-Fondue
0xa275bde79dca1fdfed6894dafa1f9d206f7dc758
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.3K
Realised
$-16.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
501428 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will another candidate win?
90788 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
68944 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-25.4K
- YES
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
52000 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
50528 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.7K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
50000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-74.74
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?
441 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-74.97
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$49.50Sep 1, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$25.24Aug 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.21Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.65Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.40Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.06Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.81Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.40Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.41Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.32Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.13Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.56Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.16Jun 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.10Jun 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.08Jun 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.17Jun 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.15Jun 21, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.32Jun 21, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.15Jun 21, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.05Jun 21, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $46.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 1, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.