Smoggy-Carry
0xa27ba01c59c6825eb01d7b783bba3f1a0ddc6c9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
10468 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?
290 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.30
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$60.37Jan 11, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$10.0KNov 7, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$215.34Nov 7, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$215.34Nov 6, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$215.59Nov 6, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$215.59Nov 6, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$39.88Nov 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$39.87Nov 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$29.79Nov 5, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?$29.80Nov 5, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$24.47Nov 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$50.00Nov 5, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$50.00Nov 5, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$100.00Nov 5, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?$33.74Nov 5, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?$59.52Nov 5, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?$131.20Nov 5, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$56.88Nov 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?$100.00Nov 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?$25.00Nov 5, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $307.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.