Altruistic-Grief
0xa2809a3d16024174b40774ac343086b466513343
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
71%
170 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
875 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-413.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
784 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-328.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
451 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-81.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
189 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-93.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
180 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
170 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-101.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
167 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-114.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
161 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-92.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
150 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
143 shares @ 72.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-103.30
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$36.06Jul 19, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.00Jul 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$4.94Jul 18, 16:45 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$98.66Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$4.00Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.74Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.66Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.80Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.04Jul 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$7.80Jul 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.72Jul 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.70Jul 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$14.80Jul 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.40Jul 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.67Jul 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.92Jul 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.16Jul 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$4.40Jul 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$9.20Jul 18, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$19.70Jul 18, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
83/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 170 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
170 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 170 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.