0xa2873fa7cf3e4e7b8806df2792720864a24f14a8
0xa2873fa7cf3e4e7b8806df2792720864a24f14a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.88
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 4?
1615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 4?
33 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 4?
30 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 4?
21 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 8?
18 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 8?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 12?
15 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
13 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17?
9 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 17?$23.00May 30, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8?$16.02May 30, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 8?$15.85May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 8?$15.53May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 12?$15.44May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 12?$14.29May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 18?$13.41May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 11?$11.63May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on April 11?$11.49May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on April 11?$11.36May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 17?$10.39May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 16?$9.00May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 11?$7.88May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on April 8?$6.21May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 5?$6.10May 30, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?$6.02May 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 12?$5.95May 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?$5.88May 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 8?$5.88May 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?$5.62May 30, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.