0xa28e0af5b781bce5c9ac2468c7ceeff478622a06
0xa28e0af5b781bce5c9ac2468c7ceeff478622a06
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?
1165 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-547.55
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?
990 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-336.60
- YES
Team from Midwest wins March Madness?
230 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-110.40
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
170 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-76.50
- YES
Will Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?
120 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2025$0.00
$-49.20
- YES
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- REAL SOCIEDAD
Copa Del Rey: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad (To Advance)
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$2.20May 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.15May 11, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.10May 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$9.60May 11, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal beat Girona?$10.00May 10, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal beat Girona?$4.10May 10, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$5.00May 10, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig?$49.20May 10, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?$50.00May 9, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$1.65May 9, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?$24.00May 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?$23.40May 7, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?$547.55May 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$336.60May 7, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?$23.85May 7, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$910.00May 7, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$455.00May 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 3?$15.00May 5, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMCoinvo Malik vs. Yazan$310.00May 5, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Child" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?$130.00May 5, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $68.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.