Closed-Essay
0xa2900b91196899a58992ee791241dbbf847ef6b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.16
Total PnL
$-245.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$13.16
$8.16
- YES
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?
5174 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-209.99
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
2367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?
505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
113 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
58 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?
8 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
7 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAstronomer Divorce Parlay$0.00Nov 30, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before August?$0.00Nov 30, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out of custody by July 31?$0.00Nov 30, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$0.00Nov 30, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?$327.03Aug 30, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?$58.04Aug 5, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$10.00Aug 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?$10.00Jul 28, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$5.00Jul 28, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before August?$5.00Jul 28, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?$5.00Jul 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstronomer Divorce Parlay$5.00Jul 28, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$2.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$25.64Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.00Jul 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?$20.00Jul 27, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$10.00Jul 27, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$10.00Jul 27, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMThailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?$52.07Jul 27, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$65.86Jul 27, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".