Meager-Fishbone
0xa291d4870d5dde1c6b3cc988f1fc30df2860bb9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-456.50
Realised
$85.47
Win rate
86%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET
268 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
248 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.79
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
155 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-23.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 8AM ET
136 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5AM ET
122 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
113 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-39.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
110 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
95 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
93 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 30, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 30, 09:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.61Feb 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.67Feb 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.03Feb 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.41Feb 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.89Feb 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.30Feb 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $10B one day after launch?$2.01Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $8B one day after launch?$3.89Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$6.08Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$1.33Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$11.62Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$6.05Feb 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$6.11Feb 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.90Feb 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.60Feb 5, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.80Feb 5, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.