Lively-Result
0xa292b0194c71636842bb9d6dcbac3d6d41130afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$16.05
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 11?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$8.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$3.15
$0.03
- NO
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.24
$0.02
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.40
$0.18
- NO
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.26
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 11?$8.00Nov 11, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLLamar Cardinals vs. TCU Horned Frogs$600.00Nov 11, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamar Cardinals vs. TCU Horned Frogs$11.5KNov 11, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 10AM ET$10.0KNov 11, 00:40 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 10AM ET$10.0KNov 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?$9.0KNov 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?$1.4KNov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?$10.00Nov 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?$111.10Nov 10, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?$2.55Nov 10, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 3.5$76.62Nov 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSharks vs. Kraken$4.3KNov 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Kraken$10.9KNov 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWarriors vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5$10.9KNov 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5$1.3KNov 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$59.76Nov 5, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Oct 31, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?$2.56Oct 2, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?$2.56Oct 2, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$2.56Oct 2, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 00:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".