Soupy-Naturalisation
0xa2940543f9b07221341c22f6e66ef7d2df4ce25f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.70
Realised
$-1.36
Win rate
0%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?
70 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 18?
67 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 8?
48 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?
48 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?
42 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?
37 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 8?
35 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 13?
34 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?$6.30Jun 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?$9.10Jun 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?$8.50Jun 18, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?$3.33Jun 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?$0.18Jun 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?$0.09Jun 18, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?$0.30Jun 18, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?$0.57Jun 18, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?$13.40Jun 17, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?$0.77Jun 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?$7.11Jun 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 18?$3.91Jun 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?$7.11Jun 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?$3.48Jun 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?$2.22Jun 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?$0.30Jun 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?$1.48Jun 17, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$2.50Jun 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?$0.89Jun 17, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.