Dismal-Difficulty
0xa2967c72d714fa74761bb2c2a7c924532e789fd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$93.05
Total PnL
$-4.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$93.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?
1720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,800 on October 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$93.00Jun 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?$3.68Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$97.10Jun 4, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$97.00May 28, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$97.10May 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$97.00May 24, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$97.00May 24, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$96.91May 17, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.10May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.00May 14, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$96.10May 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$96.01May 12, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$96.10May 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$96.01May 8, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.10May 8, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.00May 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.18May 3, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.19May 3, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.20May 3, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$92.98May 3, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $62.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".