Chubby-Thesis
0xa29cee9cee061c3cb19b9394b819d39a91a8f527
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$22.29
Total PnL
$-3.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
22 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.29
$0.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
106 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
99 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$21.49Nov 2, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$21.50Nov 2, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.27Oct 24, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.70Oct 24, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.68Oct 24, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$5.16Oct 24, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?$14.71Oct 24, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$5.00Nov 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?$5.00Nov 12, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.82Nov 7, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7.01Oct 27, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022?$0.00Oct 27, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NATO expand in 2022?$0.00Oct 27, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?$2.84Oct 27, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$4.17Oct 27, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.