Cruel-Steam
0xa29de22bafef88d23f50c16e7a4d7df2366ade01
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.41
Total PnL
$-3.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.41
$0.41
- NO
Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$10.04Jun 20, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMRockies vs. Diamondbacks$2.86Jun 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Diamondbacks$2.00Aug 8, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMAnsem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night$1.42Dec 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$2.11Dec 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?$1.16Dec 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.20Dec 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$286.12Dec 10, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 30, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 30, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$1.00Nov 30, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Nov 30, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$7.1KOct 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$607.38Oct 16, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? $2.00Oct 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$7.1KOct 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 16, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$608.00Oct 16, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win Clark county?$0.20Oct 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 16, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.