Indolent-Pike
0xa29f63f428349d2d4abbfb582740f838bcdb8f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 7?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 9?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
523 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 25?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?$87.29Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?$87.21Jun 14, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?$87.19Jun 7, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?$87.11Jun 7, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$87.19May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$87.11May 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 29, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$90.09May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$90.00May 25, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$89.99May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$89.91May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.22May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.09May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.00May 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$2.22May 13, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.09May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.00May 11, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$94.09May 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$94.00May 8, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$94.09Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $62.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.