Tempting-Embarrassment
0xa2aa5026c3046c6c37b4a1eeffa4993758cae6ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
4048 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
331 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?
253 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives by Friday?
148 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Pakistan strike on India before August?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-23?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
49 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.72Feb 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$0.07Feb 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?$1.00Oct 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Oct 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$1.00Sep 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$1.00Sep 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Aug 27, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Aug 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$10.00Jun 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $8.33Jun 29, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan strike on India before August?$5.00Jun 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $10.00Jun 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$10.00Jun 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?$5.00May 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash in 2025?$10.00May 21, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$85.40May 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives by Friday?$20.00Apr 29, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.