Finished-Chemical
0xa2b0d8ded1f7b0e33a40c116a7ac7c34c77ae7e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.50
Realised
$6.42
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
1836 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
50 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-32.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
37 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
36 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
33 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
25 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
15 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
15 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
12 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.51
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.24May 31, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.33May 30, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.93May 30, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.52May 30, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.48May 30, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.01May 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.77May 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.60May 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.91May 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.91May 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.91May 30, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.00May 30, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.40May 30, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$3.41May 30, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$3.00May 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$4.20May 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.50May 30, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$24.99May 30, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.75May 30, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$7.95May 30, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.