Elderly-Abnormality
0xa2b5292eafee1cd47c63fc2ccae1a7c5abb3fd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-169.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 7?
276 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 13?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 8?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 1?
271 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 14?
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 5?
269 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
262 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
249 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?
243 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 19?
242 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 16?$1.39Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 9?$1.31Jul 8, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?$2.14May 30, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?$2.46May 20, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$0.10May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$90.20May 17, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$89.43May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$86.30May 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?$92.92May 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 9?$0.00May 1, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?$90.69Apr 25, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$70.79Apr 25, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?$0.00Apr 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$68.31Apr 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$1.69Apr 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.26Mar 31, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?$0.00Mar 31, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$2.16Mar 28, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 28?$1.41Mar 27, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $51.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.