Intrepid-Lyre
0xa2b6692577b999e3dd407a209be5995b34980fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$42.45
Total PnL
$-2.15
Realised
$-2.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
24 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$11.40
$-0.12
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
11 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.01Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$11.02Jun 14, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.01Jun 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$1.03Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Eurovision 2025?$1.03Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have a #1 AI model this year?$1.03Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2025?$1.04Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2025?$1.04Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$1.05Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$1.07Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.07Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$1.08Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?$1.09Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.10Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$1.10Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.13Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2025?$1.13Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win Eurovision 2025?$1.13Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?$1.13Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$1.14Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $431.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.