Surprised-Unblinking
0xa2c6858a83046bc8f2c9611a868fe968732be5b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$338.43
Total PnL
$170.24
Realised
$-8.44
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
338 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$338.43
$212.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
63 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
14 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
10 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
6 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
6 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$125.93Mar 4, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$6.99Mar 4, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$4.97Mar 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.15Mar 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.64Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.90Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.35Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.04Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.64Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.00Mar 1, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$6.49Mar 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.78Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.98Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.94Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.77Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.51Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$3.24Mar 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.39Mar 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.16Mar 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.68Mar 1, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.