Plain-Coupon
0xa2c83afb81ed023276c56f81c96c1a6a20b02f1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?
5467 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?
5345 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 15?
5162 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 18?
1084 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 16?
1077 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 29?
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 2?$1.1KMar 3, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 2?$1.1KMar 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?$1.1KMar 2, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?$1.1KMar 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 28?$1.1KMar 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 28?$1.1KFeb 28, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 27?$1.1KFeb 28, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 27?$1.1KFeb 27, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?$1.1KFeb 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 26?$1.1KFeb 26, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 25?$1.1KFeb 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 25?$1.0KFeb 25, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on February 24?$1.1KFeb 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on February 24?$1.0KFeb 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?$2.18Feb 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?$2.18Feb 20, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?$2.19Feb 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?$2.19Feb 20, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?$2.18Feb 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 18?$3.25Feb 18, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $201.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.