Variable-Personal
0xa2ce4eb902f9fd27f3d4c632a6e1081a08317d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$11.27
Total PnL
$-15.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
11 shares @ 62.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$11.27
$4.27
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
129 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$2.00Oct 30, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$1.00Oct 24, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$1.00Oct 24, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 24, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)$0.00Oct 24, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)$5.38Oct 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 23, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 23, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)$9.89Oct 23, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$3.00Oct 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$5.00Oct 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)$5.00Oct 23, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)$10.00Oct 23, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.