Colorless-Hesitation
0xa2d19aa61abaea236c26623933ca42c0072a62c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$413.12
Total PnL
$-95.24
Realised
$-15.11
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
360 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$246.60
$5.26
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
190 shares @ 67.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.50
$-62.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
30 shares @ 91.3¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.27
$-2.12
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
80 shares @ 54.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.40
$-21.50
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.3¢·now 95.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$19.18
$-0.48
- NO
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.46
$3.66
- NO
Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.21
$-1.53
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.50
$-1.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$280.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$40.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$50.00Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$49.90Jun 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$199.80Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$27.98Jun 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$4.67Jun 12, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$60.00Jun 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.42Jun 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$27.18Jun 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.50Jun 12, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$14.00Jun 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.30Jun 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$4.56Jun 11, 04:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$21.59Jun 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.60Jun 10, 01:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $23.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.