Alienated-Credenza
0xa2d489ad8c03ae6b0a2ab3bad0974cef86697d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$337.34
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$-68.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
617 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.39
$3.40
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
617 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.07
$-0.93
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.88
$11.88
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.00
$-5.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
5831 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-161.99
- YES
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
3491 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-264.00
- YES
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
2385 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-325.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
2370 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
2085 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.44Jun 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.51Jun 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.51Jun 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3.00May 22, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.86May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$20.71May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$47.90May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$52.33May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.19May 16, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.94May 16, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$20.75May 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$41.90May 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid$202.58May 5, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $86.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.