Tiny-Farm
0xa2d522db2786176e863843d14053ba9c095f49b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.56
Total PnL
$-434.52
Realised
$19.80
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
51 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.36
$-2.40
- YES
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?
13 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.20
$-0.55
- ILYA IVASHKA
Alicante: Ilya Ivashka vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MIKHAIL KUKUSHKIN
Barletta: Daniil Glinka vs Mikhail Kukushkin
1260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- JAN CHOINSKI
Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullin
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?
355 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?
239 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27?
217 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
209 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 4?
201 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?$1.12Apr 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?$0.58Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?$0.04Apr 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?$0.09Apr 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?$0.02Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?$0.27Apr 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?$0.45Apr 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 13?$1.09Apr 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 12?$1.15Apr 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 11, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 13?$0.72Apr 11, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on April 11?$2.06Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?$2.18Apr 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?$0.89Apr 10, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on April 11?$1.84Apr 10, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?$3.97Apr 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 9?$1.48Apr 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?$2.00Apr 7, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".