Lighthearted-Walk
0xa2d8fe32dddef415b9998bc5a48b8bf0bbd46a5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$10.93
Total PnL
$-34.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2PM ET
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?
1 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 3, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24?$1.00Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$1.00Feb 10, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$1.00Feb 6, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?$1.32Feb 5, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.45Feb 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.01Jan 29, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET$1.03Jan 29, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.09Jan 29, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".