Past-Oversight
0xa2f9d7eb035f923c1cc75c012c35e1579cba7196
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$250.90
Total PnL
$-591.55
Realised
$-53.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
88 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$87.90
$2.90
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
61 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.35
$1.35
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.62
$1.62
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
588 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-170.55
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
90 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- OVER
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
56 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.18
- UNDER
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
51 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$73.23Jun 1, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$94.64Jun 1, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$85.00May 22, 08:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.17May 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$60.00May 21, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".