Hot-Nail
0xa2ff316de415030bb76fc2a1ca3a5974c3674f66
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$100.08
Total PnL
$-9.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$50.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$40.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 7?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?$10.0658m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?$40.0122h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$40.6523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?$50.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 7?$10.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$40.033d ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 2?$90.435d ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 2?$55.587d ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 2?$7.177d ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 2?$7.737d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$50.868d ago
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.128d ago
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$92.328d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$99.778d ago
- REDEEMWild vs. Blues$100.0025d ago
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees$102.4425d ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees$75.0025d ago
- REDEEMWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$7.0225d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$98.9825d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26d ago
- Last active
- 58m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
