Plaintive-Haircut
0xa2ffa20b4199d5d7a064939a47a2408f6e99b8bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.05
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-10.95
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3955 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
467 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 13-15 points?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
227 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
217 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?
95 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
72 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?$23.68Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?$43.10Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?$44.12Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?$54.69Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?$125.62Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Feb 20, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 20?$3.31Feb 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 20?$1.20Feb 20, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 20?$4.00Feb 20, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 20?$10.00Feb 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 20?$9.00Feb 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 20?$9.00Feb 20, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?$30.00Feb 20, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?$18.00Feb 20, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$137.76Feb 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.00Feb 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.00Feb 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.00Feb 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?$100.00Feb 19, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?$25.00Feb 19, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $92.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.