0xa3020e8fa00bb7996413c479a043ab6e64c3b9a0
0xa3020e8fa00bb7996413c479a043ab6e64c3b9a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
171
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-581.53
Realised
$-28.45
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ET
53959 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-75.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9AM ET
17405 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.92
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
9012 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9AM ET
5264 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- BUSHIDO WILDCATS
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)
2350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10AM ET
613 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-60.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
402 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
205 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.28Apr 29, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.08Apr 29, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Apr 29, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.50Apr 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.13Apr 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.18Apr 29, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.00Apr 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.93Apr 29, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.49Apr 29, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.18Apr 29, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.19Apr 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.89Apr 29, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Apr 29, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.36Apr 29, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.10Apr 29, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.01Apr 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.05Apr 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.05Apr 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.97Apr 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.97Apr 29, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.