Self-Assured-Ticket
0xa304f4b0034a1ef55add0de2c22e68f66a0c2ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$31.72
Total PnL
$-7.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
32 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.72
$-0.03
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600–624 times August 8–August 15?
3080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$31.75May 11, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$3.27May 4, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$3.52May 4, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$25.10May 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$25.05Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19?$24.73Apr 20, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19?$24.71Apr 16, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?$24.74Apr 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?$24.65Apr 9, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$2.91Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?$27.54Apr 6, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?$27.51Apr 2, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$2.80Apr 2, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2.64Apr 2, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.11Apr 2, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?$3.21Apr 1, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$30.10Apr 1, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$30.07Mar 30, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$30.32Mar 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$30.23Mar 26, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $23.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".