Slushy-Similarity
0xa30a48e34e040340dfe9cff5efc3f54564ad4550
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$111.11
Total PnL
$-228.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
111 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$111.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
8333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-27.99
- YES
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
5940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
5750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?
3431 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.72
- YES
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
3050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
2930 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
2633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
2413 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$111.01Jul 17, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $430?$42.04Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $440?$69.07Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $430?$42.00Jun 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $440?$69.00Jun 26, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.41Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.65Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.71Jun 26, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.47May 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.64May 31, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$4.28May 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$9.20May 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$112.88May 30, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$113.01May 30, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$113.73May 30, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$113.41May 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.40May 29, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on May 28?$11.76May 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$1.28May 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$4.28May 28, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $60.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.