False-Peen
0xa30ec5bdde74420951453321fe85ea50c1677d3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.92
Total PnL
$-16.90
Realised
$-0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.16
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel strike on Tehran before July?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$255.49Nov 25, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMMissouri vs. Oklahoma$2.94Nov 25, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissouri vs. Oklahoma$2.00Nov 22, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$10.00Nov 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$259.90Nov 22, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$272.89Nov 22, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$275.30Nov 22, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$3.00Nov 22, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq by Friday?$2.17Nov 22, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$2.86Nov 22, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq by Friday?$2.00Jun 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Tehran before July?$2.00Jun 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$2.00Jun 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza before July?$1.03Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$0.00Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$1.12Jun 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$2.00Mar 18, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$1.00Mar 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a US ally get a nuke in 2025?$2.00Mar 18, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.