Thoughtful-Shell
0xa312ae43671f4789aff8fc57690c4ad2b0fdaece
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 1?
282 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 12?
279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
275 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 12?
275 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 10?
272 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11?
272 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 13?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
270 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$99.55Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$96.86May 31, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$4.86May 22, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?$20.49May 16, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$76.55May 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$0.37May 8, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$0.17May 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$74.86May 8, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 30?$26.95May 8, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?$2.10May 7, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$0.00May 2, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 28?$1.88Apr 28, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 14?$0.00Apr 25, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$1.21Apr 19, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of April 6 2026?$82.00Apr 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?$19.35Apr 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of April 6 2026?$79.54Apr 10, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?$97.05Apr 10, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 11?$0.00Mar 31, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 30?$25.33Mar 30, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $38.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.