Better-Neighbour
0xa3141724ab6e62564c25040465a954cf1a59e2c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-656.18
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
6033 shares @ 84.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.0K
$916.55
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 31.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.48
$24.84
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$-2.77
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?
4541 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-273.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
3465 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-290.16
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
3009 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-773.83
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
2922 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-77.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2622 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-164.11
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1929 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1801 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-384.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$11.64Feb 6, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$5.1KFeb 6, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$852.32Feb 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$396.98Feb 6, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$151.79Feb 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$256.26Feb 1, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.1KFeb 1, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$4.8KFeb 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$32.50Jan 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$21.60Jan 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$78.00Jan 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$67.50Jan 8, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$135.00Jan 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$18.61Jan 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$206.39Jan 7, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$3.4KJan 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$0.50Jan 7, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$278.46Jan 7, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$119.89Jan 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$19.23Jan 7, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $278.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".