Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.4K

Realised

$-1.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 34

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
943 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
800 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-408.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
500 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-274.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
404 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-210.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
400 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-207.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
399 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-204.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
368 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
309 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
285 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.44Dec 13, 03:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$66.74Dec 13, 03:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$76.90Dec 13, 03:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$82.06Dec 13, 03:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$104.00Dec 13, 03:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$204.00Dec 13, 03:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$204.00Dec 13, 03:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Dec 13, 03:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$200.00Dec 13, 03:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$200.00Dec 13, 03:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$100.00Dec 13, 02:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$102.00Dec 13, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$10.00Dec 13, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.55Dec 13, 02:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$200.00Dec 13, 02:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$50.00Dec 13, 01:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$106.38Dec 13, 01:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$50.00Dec 13, 01:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$201.49Dec 13, 01:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$50.00Dec 13, 01:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry85 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $69.02
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 12, 22:46 UTC
Last active: Dec 13, 03:46 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:55:46 UTC·src:Polymarket Data