Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-92.98

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-9.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1008 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
505 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
58 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.67
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
46 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-24.15
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
44 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-13.29
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
31 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$25.00Apr 16, 17:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.77Apr 16, 16:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 16:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Apr 16, 13:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 16, 13:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$14.00Apr 15, 20:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 20:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$170.18Apr 15, 20:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$100.00Apr 15, 20:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00Apr 15, 20:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$106.76Apr 15, 20:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$40.00Apr 15, 20:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 20:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$3.80Apr 15, 20:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 20:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$49.62Apr 15, 20:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$25.00Apr 15, 20:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 20:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$27.07Apr 15, 20:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$15.00Apr 15, 20:05 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry10 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 24
Avg trade size: $27.47
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 17, 00:10 UTC
Last active: Apr 16, 17:01 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:19:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data